The Yield Curve: The Bond Market’s Crystal Ball
In the stock market (Cluster 2), there is a lot of noise, shouting, and emotion. But there is another market—the Bond Market—that is much larger, much…
In the stock market (Cluster 2), there is a lot of noise, shouting, and emotion. But there is another market—the Bond Market—that is much larger, much…
If the RBI (C4 Pillar 3) is the operator of the Indian economic engine, the US Federal Reserve (The Fed) is the operator of the entire world's energy grid.
Just like a household, a country must track how much it spends on buying things from the world versus how much it earns by selling things to the world. If…
In C4 Pillar 3, we learned that the Repo Rate is the "Monetary Thermostat" controlled by the RBI. But how does a single number decided in a boardroom in…
In the media, the word "Recession" is used to create fear. It sounds like a ghost story that can destroy your life. But in the natural world, every system…
If you want to understand why the stock market sometimes goes up even when the economy looks bad (like during the 2020 pandemic), you must understand…
In the Indian household, there is a deep cultural love for Gold. In the modern financial world, there is a deep love for Stocks. Often, these two are seen…
Have you ever wondered why the RBI frequently announces that it has $600 Billion or $700 Billion in its "Forex Reserves"? Why are they hoarding so much…
In C2 Spoke 12, we learned how to track individual "Whales." Now, we are going to look at the Global and Local Currents that move the entire ocean.
In the world of macroeconomics, everything—from GDP to stock market returns—is ultimately driven by People. How many people are working? How much are they…
Every time you see the news headline "Crude Oil jumps to $90 a barrel," the Indian stock market usually turns red. Why? We don't produce much oil in…
In C4 Pillar 2, we learned that inflation is the "Entropy of Money." But how does the government actually measure this decay? They use a tool called the…